Ukrainian forces might mount a counter-attack against Russia when they get enough Western-made weaponry
Kiev’s forces might be able to launch a large-scale attack on the Russian military by the end of June, President Volodymyr Zelensky’s adviser, Alexey Arestovich, said on Thursday.
“A counteroffensive is possible with the accumulation of a large number of Western weapons, which will be sufficient for several brigades, completely rearmed, trained and coordinated, after which we can attack,” Arestovich told the Ukraine 24 TV channel.
In terms of timing, it will most likely be the end of June – the beginning of July. The first guns that can stop the enemy will arrive at the end of May – the beginning of June, and to attack – not earlier than the second half of June.
Arestovich has repeatedly promised a counteroffensive against the Russian military, which launched a large-scale operation against Ukraine in late February. In late April, the official said the counteroffensive might happen in early June, tying the operation to the deliveries of Western-made weaponry. On May 1, however, Arestovich dispatched an even more optimistic prognosis, claiming that Russian forces in Ukraine’s east might get “crushed” by Victory Day, celebrated on May 9.
“The prospects for the Russian army are unfavorable in Ukraine. The defeat could happen right by May 9,” he claimed.
The mixed messages given by the Ukrainian official, however, starkly contrast Moscow’s view of the impact of Western weaponry deliveries on the ongoing conflict. While Russia has repeatedly warned the West against “pumping” Kiev with weapons, it has also said that the flowing war supply wouldn’t change the outcome of the conflict, only prolonging it and inflicting more damage and suffering on the Ukrainian people.
“Our military is well aware that the US, the UK, and NATO as a whole are continuously transmitting intelligence and other parameters to the Ukrainian armed forces. Combined with the flow of weapons that these countries and the alliance are sending to Ukraine, these actions do not contribute to a quick resolution of the operation,” Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said on Thursday.
But at the same time, they cannot disrupt the achievement of the goals outlined for the special military operation.
Russia attacked the neighboring state in late February, following Ukraine’s failure to implement the terms of the Minsk agreements, first signed in 2014, and Moscow’s eventual recognition of the Donbass republics of Donetsk and Lugansk. The German and French brokered Minsk Protocol was designed to give the breakaway regions special status within the Ukrainian state.
The Kremlin has since demanded that Ukraine officially declare itself a neutral country that will never join the US-led NATO military bloc. Kiev insists the Russian offensive was completely unprovoked and has denied claims it was planning to retake the two republics by force.